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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • My wife and I are looking at retiring to Mexico. My wife has dual citizenship. It looks like I can get permanent residency relatively easily through a couple of options.

    The healthcare is steadily improving and still within a quick flight to the U.S. if needed for a specialist. It’s also a lot cheaper than the U.S.

    The food, it’s Mexico. It’s amazing.







  • The mechanisms by which civilizations grow, stagnate, collapse and recover have fascinated people since at least the ancient Greek philosophers.

    Civilizations initially grow because they make life better for the average citizen. Cooperation leads to more reliable food and more babies survive to make more babies.

    After some time some stressors on the civilization lead to widespread conflict. Historically this have been linked mostly to famine and plagues. Economic instability can also lead to a civilizations segmentation and conflict. The “fall of civilizations” is historically the segmentation of large civilizations into smaller entities as people rally around a local leader who promises them the “right” things.

    So what’s happening right now - a shit ton of stressors.

    Birth rates are negative in most industrialized nations. This indicates that on a widespread basis, globally people do not feel that they have the resources to raise kids.

    Climate change is triggering serious fears of famine. This is why denying the obvious heat increases is so popular. “Oh no, it’s not the hottest and dryest summer on record. Our crops are hunky doey.”

    Plagues - Well COVID happened and triggered a lot of widespread fear. That disease is still seen as a curse from the supernatural for most humans instead of a biological inevitability was made crystal clear.

    Wars - stealing someone else’s resources looks pretty good when you fear there is not enough resources to go around. “It’s too hot in the U.S. to grow crops, let’s invade Canada and steal Greenland!”

    So humans are doing what they have always done when stressed. Look for someone who looks like a “strong leader” who can make things right in their world again.


  • I got curious about the Houthis and found few things interesting.

    They control the region where around 80% of the population of yemen lives - about 34 million people.

    Saudi Arabia has around 35 million people in the country.

    Houthis have around 500,000 active military (plus lots of fighting experience) and another 1 million that they have put through training recently. They also have developed some pretty strong drone and missile capabilities from Iranian assistance. I also suspect Russia has been finding a way to sneak in some tech they have learned in Ukraine to them as well (Wagner group etc).

    Saudi has around 250,000 active military mostly reliant on U.S. tech that has taken a severe beating recently from Iran.

    If it comes to full out war, the Houthis on paper potentially can beat the shit out of them. This is no small fringe group. Its a small nation.