Some Republicans are growing worried that two key Senate races once considered critical to holding their majority are slipping from their grasp.
In more than a dozen interviews with campaign officials, senators and operatives, there is recognition that North Carolina and Georgia are looking less competitive than the party once anticipated and that decisions need to be made soon about whether to keep investing, even as party officials insist they are not walking away from their candidates there.
Republican senators like North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis, said it was time for the party to make some tough decisions about spending.
Nate Silver has both Georgia and North Carolina solidly D in the deluxe (D+10.3, D+8.8) and classic (D+9.4, D+8.3) models
Never forget “Kamala will win Iowa by +14 points” and “Hillary has a 98% chance of winning” whenever you see a poll.
You’re in this shitty situation right now because lots and lots of apathetic people believed the polls and didn’t bother to vote. We know cause the day after Kamala lost you know what search term trended? “How to vote after election day.”
What about the Florida special election?
Moody ® wins 86.8% of the scenarios
what is classic vs deluxe difference in methodology?
deluxe model (the default) adds expert ratings to adjust polling and fundamentals. There is a slight extra edge for dems in Iowa, Ohio Maine and Texas.